How the pandemic taught economists a lesson about inflation, growth and economic recovery

Economists' assumptions during the pandemic

Even during the coronavirus pandemic, many economists were surprisingly unanimous: the great danger was a phase of low inflation, perhaps even deflation. A few years later, the picture is different. Inflation reached historic highs in many countries, supply chains collapsed and economic developments turned out differently than expected.

The pandemic was not just a health crisis - it was also a stress test for economic forecasts. This article shows where experts were wrong, why this was the case and what lessons can be learned for future assessments.

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Recognize TMD early and self-test: Why the jaw, neck, head and ears are often connected

TMD self-test

There are complaints that cannot be classified for a long time. A pulling sensation in the jaw that you initially ignore. A headache that you blame on stress. A slight cracking sound when you open your mouth that eventually becomes a habit. And then suddenly there is neck pain, perhaps a slight feeling of pressure in the ear - all explainable in themselves, but strangely unclear in the overall picture. This is exactly how it starts for many people. You go to the dentist, perhaps later to the orthopaedist or ENT specialist. Everyone looks at their own area, and often nothing clear is found. The complaints remain - sometimes for years.

I have experienced this path myself. And it was only when I was intensively involved with the topic of TMD, particularly when I was setting up a structured self-test, that I realized how many of the typical symptoms I had actually experienced over time. Individual points that seem harmless on their own suddenly form an overall picture. This article is intended to help with exactly that: to make the connections visible. Because the decisive step is often not in the treatment, but in recognizing the pattern.

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Fracking, LNG and energy policy: a sober analysis of risks, opportunities and reality

Natural gas fracking and energy policy

There are political and social discussions that are not linear. They come in waves. Fracking is one such issue. For years, the matter in Germany seemed settled. With the legislative package of 2016 and the resulting regulation from 2017, the framework was clear: commercial fracking in unconventional reservoirs will not take place. The debate calmed down and the issue largely disappeared from the public eye. It was as if a lid had been put on it.

But this impression was deceptive. Because while the debate in Germany was dying down, the world was changing in the background. The energy supply, which had long been considered relatively stable, came under increasing pressure. Prices began to fluctuate, supply chains became more fragile and geopolitical tensions increased. The events from 2022 at the latest made it clear that energy is not a matter of course, but a strategic commodity.

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Who actually is J. D. Vance? A portrait of his origins, career, contradictions and future

Who is J. D. Vance?

International reporting on the United States is usually dominated by the big, loud figures. Names that polarize, that provoke, that generate headlines. For many European observers, politics in the USA is therefore often an interplay of escalation, conflict and clearly recognizable opposites. And then suddenly a name appears that doesn't fit into this picture at all: J. D. Vance.

Not a classic loudspeaker. Not a man of grand gestures. Not a politician who immediately attracts attention with pithy words. And yet he is suddenly there - in interviews, in analyses, in political debates. Not as a marginal figure, but as someone who obviously plays a role that is bigger than it appears at first glance. For many readers in Germany or Europe, this is precisely where the real question begins: who is this man anyway - and why has he suddenly become so important?

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Sympathetic nervous system, parasympathetic nervous system and cortisol - how stress controls our body

Cortisol, sympathetic nervous system and stress

Stress is part of life. Without stress, we would probably hardly get out of bed in the morning, avoid challenges and simply not get many things done. For thousands of years, the human body has been designed to be able to react quickly in certain situations: Recognize danger, mobilize energy, act. In such moments, the organism runs at full speed - heart rate, breathing, alertness and muscle tension increase. This state can even be life-saving.

However, stress becomes problematic when it no longer ends. Many people today live in a state that no longer feels like acute stress, but rather like a permanently elevated baseline level. Deadlines, conflicts, a flood of information, constant availability - the body often reacts as if it is constantly in a potentially dangerous situation. However, while our ancestors were able to calm down again after a short period of tension, this phase of real relaxation is often missing today.

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The Iran-Israel conflict: Why this escalation is the West's strategic nightmare

Israel-Iran - Strategic nightmare

There are moments in the story when you sense that something is shifting. Not abruptly, not with a single decision, but like a line that slowly but inexorably runs through the dust of old certainties. The past few days have been such moments. I wondered for a long time whether I should really write this editorial - after all, I have already dealt with Iran in detail once before and made it clear that you can only understand this country and its power structures if you look at the decades-old lines. But it is precisely these lines that have now become visible again, more clearly than ever.

What makes me sit up and take notice is not just the hard facts: the nightly strikes, the overloading of Israeli missile defenses, the rhetoric of political leaders, the increasing shift of power in the background. It is the underlying pattern - the sense that here is a conflict entering a phase that will be a nightmare for any strategist. And that is precisely why I am writing this article: because many see the surface, but hardly anyone understands what is brewing underneath.

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From the end of compulsory military service to school strikes: the new debate on the Bundeswehr and education

School strikes on compulsory military service and the Bundeswehr at school

When I myself was conscripted into the Bundeswehr in the 1990s, it was still a fairly normal part of life for many young men in Germany. Anyone who had finished school did either civilian service or military service. It was simply part of life back then - just like training or studying. People talked about it, they knew roughly what to expect, and almost everyone had someone in their circle of acquaintances who was currently doing military service or had recently done so.

I myself also did my military service. There were no major ideological debates about it in my environment. Of course, there was criticism of the military or discussions about deployments abroad - but the Bundeswehr was basically a normal part of the state. It was there, but it didn't play a particularly dominant role in most people's everyday lives. Interestingly, this also applied to school.

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Europe between freedom of expression and regulation: New US info portal raises questions

EU censorship, hate speech and the new US portal

I recently stumbled across a piece of information that initially interested me rather casually - and then stuck with me. A report said that the US government was planning a new online portal. A portal that would make content accessible that is blocked in certain regions of the world. Countries such as Iran and China were mentioned. But then another term came up: Europe.

Europe.

The idea that American agencies are developing an information portal that is expressly intended for European citizens, because certain content is no longer accessible here, made me wonder. Not outraged or panicked, but wary. When Europe is suddenly mentioned in the same breath as traditional areas of censorship, it is worth taking a closer look.

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