Thinking models

Contributions to thought models and strategies. Methods are presented on how to understand complex relationships more clearly and approach processes or decisions in a structured way.

How the pandemic taught economists a lesson about inflation, growth and economic recovery

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Economists' assumptions during the pandemic

Even during the coronavirus pandemic, many economists were surprisingly unanimous: the great danger was a phase of low inflation, perhaps even deflation. A few years later, the picture is different. Inflation reached historic highs in many countries, supply chains collapsed and economic developments turned out differently than expected.

The pandemic was not just a health crisis - it was also a stress test for economic forecasts. This article shows where experts were wrong, why this was the case and what lessons can be learned for future assessments.

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From content to substance: how digital systems are created that cannot be copied

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System instead of individual content

When you move around in the digital space today, you very quickly get a certain impression: if you are visible, you are successful. If you have reach, you have influence. And if you produce a lot of content, you automatically build up something. This equation seems plausible at first glance - but it is deceptive. Because visibility is not ownership. Reach is not ownership. And content is by no means a foundation.

A post can be read thousands of times and yet practically disappear after a few days. A social media post can go viral - and at the same time have no lasting effect. Even well-placed content in search engines is not automatically stable. They depend on algorithms, platform rules and developments that you have no control over.

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Guided in everyday life - How modern sales tricks control our behavior

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Sales tricks in the supermarket and online

It's often the little things that make you wonder. No big events, no loud break - rather a quiet moment when you stop and ask yourself: wasn't it different before? I recently had such a moment in the supermarket. A store I've known for many years. One of those places where you don't have to think. You know where things are. Milk at the back on the right, bread at the front on the left, the usual routes in between. It's a quiet form of reliability that you hardly notice in everyday life - as long as it's there.

But this time something was different. I was searching. Not for long, but longer than usual. The milk was no longer where it always was. A few steps further, then back again. Finally I found it - but the thought remained. Why? At first it seems banal. A shelf is rearranged, a product is moved. That happens. But when such moments accumulate, the whole thing loses its random character. It creates an impression that is difficult to grasp, but is nevertheless tangible: something is being changed here - not for me, but with me.

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From ChatGPT data export to your own knowledge AI: step-by-step with Ollama and Qdrant

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The path to your own AI memory

In the first part of this article series, we saw that the ChatGPT data export is much more than just a technical function. Your exported data contains a collection of thoughts, ideas, analyses and conversations that have accumulated over a long period of time. But as long as this data is only stored as an archive on your hard disk, it remains just that: an archive. The crucial step is to make this information usable again. This is exactly where the development of a personal knowledge AI begins.

The idea is actually surprisingly simple: an AI should not only work with general knowledge, but also be able to access your own data. It should search through previous conversations, find suitable content and incorporate this into new answers. This turns an ordinary AI into a kind of digital memory. This is the second part of the article series, which now looks at the practical aspects.

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The Iran-Israel conflict: Why this escalation is the West's strategic nightmare

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Israel-Iran - Strategic nightmare

There are moments in the story when you sense that something is shifting. Not abruptly, not with a single decision, but like a line that slowly but inexorably runs through the dust of old certainties. The past few days have been such moments. I wondered for a long time whether I should really write this editorial - after all, I have already dealt with Iran in detail once before and made it clear that you can only understand this country and its power structures if you look at the decades-old lines. But it is precisely these lines that have now become visible again, more clearly than ever.

What makes me sit up and take notice is not just the hard facts: the nightly strikes, the overloading of Israeli missile defenses, the rhetoric of political leaders, the increasing shift of power in the background. It is the underlying pattern - the sense that here is a conflict entering a phase that will be a nightmare for any strategist. And that is precisely why I am writing this article: because many see the surface, but hardly anyone understands what is brewing underneath.

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Europe between freedom of expression and regulation: New US info portal raises questions

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EU censorship, hate speech and the new US portal

I recently stumbled across a piece of information that initially interested me rather casually - and then stuck with me. A report said that the US government was planning a new online portal. A portal that would make content accessible that is blocked in certain regions of the world. Countries such as Iran and China were mentioned. But then another term came up: Europe.

Europe.

The idea that American agencies are developing an information portal that is expressly intended for European citizens, because certain content is no longer accessible here, made me wonder. Not outraged or panicked, but wary. When Europe is suddenly mentioned in the same breath as traditional areas of censorship, it is worth taking a closer look.

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Cancel Culture in the West: Sport, universities, the military and EU sanctions analyzed

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Cancel Culture in the West

When you hear the word „cancel culture“ today, you quickly think of universities, social networks or prominent individuals who come under pressure for making a thoughtless statement. Originally, the phenomenon was actually very much located in the cultural and academic sphere. It was about boycotts, protests and symbolic distancing. But something has shifted in recent years. The dynamic has grown, it has become more serious - and above all: it has become more political.

Today, we are not just observing individual debates about lectures or Twitter posts. We see athletes who are not allowed to compete. Artists whose programs are being cancelled. Professors coming under massive pressure. Military officers whose statements make international waves within hours. States that keep lists. Entry bans. Sanctions that affect not just institutions, but specific individuals.

This is more than a marginal cultural phenomenon. It has become a political mechanism.

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Learning to think dialogically with AI: Why good questions are more important than good models

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Learning to think dialogically with AI

The term „AI as a sparring partner“ now appears frequently. It usually means that an AI helps with writing, generates ideas or completes tasks faster. A first basic article on this has already been published in the magazine. This article now aims to show in reality how AI can be used as an effective thinking partner. In practice, it is clear that AI only becomes really interesting when it is not treated as a tool, but as a counterpart. Not in the human sense, but as something that answers, contradicts, leads on - or even mercilessly reveals where your own thinking is flawed.

This is exactly where the real benefit begins. Not where the AI „delivers“, but where it reacts. Where it does not simply process, but makes thought processes visible. This is more inconvenient than a classic tool - but also more sustainable.

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