Thinking models

Contributions to thought models and strategies. Methods are presented on how to understand complex relationships more clearly and approach processes or decisions in a structured way.

Artificial intelligence without the hype: why fewer AI tools often mean better work

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Artificial intelligence without the hype

Anyone who deals with the topic of artificial intelligence today almost inevitably encounters a strange feeling: constant restlessness. No sooner have you got used to one tool than the next ten appear. One video follows the next on YouTube: „This AI tool changes everything“, „You absolutely have to use this now“, „Those who miss out are left behind“. And every time, the same message resonates subliminally: You're too late. The others are further ahead. You have to catch up.

This doesn't just affect IT people. Self-employed people, creative professionals, entrepreneurs and ordinary employees are also feeling the pressure. Many don't even know exactly what these tools actually do - but they have the feeling that they could be missing out on something. And that's exactly what creates stress.

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Rule-based world order and international law: between claim, reality and breach of law

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International law and rules-based world order

For years now, I have noticed how often politicians and the media talk about a „rules-based world order“ is being discussed. The current conflict between the USA and Venezuela has brought this topic back to the fore. In the past, this term hardly ever came up, but today it almost seems like a standard reflex: if something happens somewhere, it is quickly said that we have to „defend the rules“. At the same time, I have gained the impression that the same people who refer to these rules particularly often no longer feel consistently bound by them themselves when in doubt. It was precisely this contradiction that made me wonder.

What's more, the more often you hear such terms, the more vague they seem. „Rules-based“ sounds clear, but often remains vague. And „international law“ is often used as a moral seal of approval, although it is actually a legal framework - with conditions, limits and loopholes. I have therefore decided to take a closer look at this topic. Not as a lawyer, but as someone who wants to understand what this order once was at its core - and what its real strength lay in.

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Propaganda: history, methods, modern forms and how to recognize them

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What is propaganda?

For many - and I felt the same way myself for a long time - propaganda was something you learned about in history lessons. A topic that seemed to be firmly established: in the Third Reich, perhaps even in the GDR, i.e. in clearly defined, authoritarian systems. We were taught that propaganda existed there because these systems needed it - and that it didn't really play a role in an open, democratic society like the Federal Republic of Germany.

This view was comfortable. And it was plausible for a long time. Because propaganda was almost always shown as something obvious: as a slogan, as a poster, as martial imagery. Something that you recognize as soon as you see it - and from which you can distance yourself internally. Today, this certainty seems fragile. Not because people have suddenly changed, but because the form of influence has changed. And that is precisely why it is worth clarifying calmly and without agitation what propaganda actually is - and what it is not.

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AI for beginners: How to get started with artificial intelligence without prior knowledge

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AI for beginners

Artificial intelligence seems like a sudden phenomenon to many people. Just a few years ago, it hardly played a role in everyday life, but today it is constantly present - in the news, in discussions, in conversations at work. However, this impression is deceptive. AI did not emerge overnight. It has been researched, developed and used in specialist areas for decades. What is new is not the idea, but the approach.

Artificial intelligence has been around as a research idea for decades. For a long time, it was a topic for universities, large corporations and special applications. The big difference today is that many AI systems have matured to the point where they can be used by normal people in everyday life - via a simple input window, on a computer or smartphone.

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Using AI as a sparring partner: How thinking in dialog becomes more productive

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AI as a savings partner

I've been using artificial intelligence for almost exactly two years now. In the beginning, it was sober and technical: entering text, typing prompts, reading answers, correcting, retyping. The way many people did it - carefully, in a controlled manner, with a certain distance. It worked, no question. But there was still something mechanical about it. You asked questions, got answers, ticked them off.

I realized relatively early on that I was missing something: flow. Thinking is not a form. Good thoughts don't come from a corset of neatly formulated input, but from talking, trying things out, thinking aloud. So I started to use the AI app on my cell phone more often - and at some point I simply started speaking instead of typing. That was the real turning point.

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Ulrike Guérot: A European between idea, university and public discourse

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Ulrike Guérot and Europe

There are people whose thoughts you like to follow not because you agree with them on everything, but because they make an effort to penetrate things. For me, Ulrike Guérot is one of these voices. I have been watching her lectures for a few years now - not regularly, not ritualized, but when I come across a topic that I feel is worth listening to more closely. What strikes me is that her arguments are calm, structured and largely non-ideological.

This does not make her lectures spectacular in the media sense, but they are sustainable. You can listen to her for a long time without getting the feeling that she is trying to sell a ready-made world view. Especially at a time when political debates are often morally charged or emotionally truncated, this way of speaking seems almost old-fashioned. In the best sense of the word.

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Reach is not ownership - Why visibility is no longer enough today

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Reach vs. ownership

A good ten years ago, I happened to watch a lecture on the transition from the information society to the knowledge society. At the time, much of it still sounded theoretical, almost academic. It was about concepts such as data sovereignty, ownership of information and the question of who will actually determine what is accessible in the future - and what is not. Today, with a little distance, this lecture seems surprisingly precise. After all, much of what was described as a development back then has now become reality. More and more data has migrated to the cloud. More and more information is no longer stored on in-house systems, but in external infrastructures. And increasingly, it is no longer the user but a provider, a platform or a set of rules that decides what is possible.

To understand this development, it is worth taking a step back. The information society in which many of us grew up was not a normal state. It was a historical exception.

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Game theory explains 25 years of geopolitics: How Europe lost its strategic role

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Game theory explains 25 years of geopolitics

For many, game theory sounds like dry mathematics, like formulas, like something that only plays a role in lectures or business games. In reality, however, it is an ancient thinking tool that existed long before its academic formalization. Diplomats used it, commanders used it, captains of industry used it - long before it was even called that. In the end, it is nothing more than a sober question:

„When several players have to make decisions in an uncertain situation - what options do they have and what are the consequences?“

This kind of thinking has become surprisingly rare today. Instead of analyzing alternatives, much is narrowed down to moral narratives or spontaneous interpretations. Yet in geopolitical issues in particular, a clear analysis of the possibilities would be the foundation of any mature policy. It is precisely this old craft that I would like to take up again in this article.

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